Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.249992 0.293956 0.346286 0.414003 0.500566 0.609283 7.590728e-01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.206410 0.267593 0.351109 0.477749 0.673292 0.979866 1.535111e+00
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.170436 0.236845 0.337107 0.509363 0.821866 1.425661 2.893492e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.142594 0.208364 0.315375 0.518098 0.938983 1.923687 5.187235e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.120778 0.183141 0.290483 0.509998 1.019579 2.435300 8.906175e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.108189 0.169891 0.281996 0.529405 1.175042 3.356015 1.873645e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.094890 0.152630 0.261558 0.515475 1.239011 4.104320 3.510243e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.086452 0.142521 0.252513 0.524290 1.378136 5.470097 9.023189e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.078265 0.131486 0.239103 0.517620 1.466260 6.860604 2.533378e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072926 0.125071 0.234103 0.531437 1.644950 9.526848 1.847990e+03
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068922 0.120661 0.232560 0.554662 1.891041 14.195041 7.062693e+07
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064825 0.115458 0.228129 0.567962 2.114415 20.698944 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.061297 0.111084 0.225135 0.586266 2.403197 32.753065 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.057952 0.106686 0.221325 0.601185 2.709183 53.873578 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.054755 0.102209 0.216509 0.611207 3.014947 91.679468 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051470 0.097147 0.209276 0.609761 3.248994 151.770713 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048077 0.091473 0.199486 0.594988 3.362640 230.585623 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046237 0.089175 0.198599 0.616924 3.878021 638.456096 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043357 0.084144 0.189223 0.599139 3.966604 1139.584231 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.041555 0.081498 0.186318 0.609627 4.424944 5088.237431 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.039406 0.077814 0.179827 0.601366 4.650256 26591.070803 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.038067 0.075971 0.178567 0.618209 5.306503 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037072 0.074878 0.179421 0.646641 6.304489 NaN NaN